With the Obama administration struggling to pass health care legislation, and with news outlets and elected officials talking about little else, the president has mounted the podium to exhort citizens on the subject. As with all politicians' speeches, it was short on substance---some observers close to Mr. Obama say that he is not particularly conversant with the bill's provisions---but it was superior theater, as befits an issue that is heavily laden with emotional content.
No matter what surgery is performed on the bill to fashion it into law, there will be something to offend everyone. As we already know, the legislation, like all legislation, will be a compromise, and so people who want socialized medicine now will be sadly disappointed.
Second, the cost of the program will be very large, and in any case it will be more expensive than projections, perhaps much, much more. Already about 18% of GDP, health care is now stunningly expensive, but the government has a very poor track record of reducing the cost of anything it touches. If it is worthwhile to have, expense alone shouldn't make something unattractive, but nobody should be laboring under the illusion that soaring health care costs will get smaller.
Third, one of the principal objectives of the bill is to cover the large number of people who are currently uninsured, to make medical coverage mandatory, and there are many unanswered questions, not all of which will be addressed in the final bill. The goal is laudable, but some of the unintended consequences of it are not. Of course, that happens whenever the government tries to do something other than govern, and so don't be be surprised if the system grows to be large, insensitive, inefficient, countrproductive---and as large a locus of waste as other federal entitlement programs.
For the majority of us with private health care, there will be no immediate change except a rise in taxes. For those without health insurance, the change will be positive and dramatic, but it is worth asking about what kind of care will be delivered to these people.
One of the largest government health program is in the Veterans' Administration, which treats millions of former service people. Care in some of the facilities is excellent: I remember a recent visit to the VA hospital in Augusta, Georgia, and I was impressed with the high quality of the service provided, particularly to recently-wounded troops. But much of the rest of the VA system has a spotty record, and there is no end of horror stories about long waits for care, poor conditions, misdiagnoses and malfeasance.
The new Secretary of Veterans' Affairs, retired General Eric Shinseki, has pledged to improve the system---and if there is anyone capable of doing that, it is Shinseki---but one wonders if the quality of care now delivered by the VA is all we can expect from the system that President Obama wants. If so, we may not be doing the nation a favor: we will provide lousy care at an extraordinary price.
And if we intend to give them better care, then why don't we already do the same for veterans?



