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COL. JACK JACOBS

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{"contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"jackjacobs"}

Getting Hassled By Pakistan

News Type: Opinion — Thu Dec 17, 2009 6:02 PM EST
Col. Jack Jacobs
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Just when our interests in the region have begun to rely more heavily on it, Pakistan is becoming less cooperative. Some weeks ago, President Zardari relinquished his control of a seat on the country's Nuclear Regulatory Authority, ostensibly responsible for nuclear safety but actually involved more deeply in its weapons programs. This move is a telling example of Zardari's political weakness, and now there are reports that Pakistani military and intelligence authorities are making it impossible for the United States to operate effectively. American diplomats are being harassed, visas are being denied, programs are languishing.

When President Obama announced a few weeks ago that he was ordering an increase in American forces in Afghanistan, officials conceded that Afghanistan's fate is inextricably intertwined with the success of Pakistan's operations against the Taliban in Waziristan, with Islamabad's political and economic stability, with the extent of Islamic revolutionaries' infiltration of military and intelligence structures, and with a host of other factors outside American control.

We have been exhorting Pakistan to redeploy many of its forces now arrayed against India and to become more aggressive and persistent in pursuing Taliban and al Qaeda on the Afghan border. For a while, there had been some success in these efforts. But many Pakistanis resent Zardari's close alliance with the United States and believe that the doddering economy will get even worse under the current government. Quite a few of those people are in the military.

There are factions in the both ISI, the nation's intelligence service, and the army for whom western influence of any kind is abhorrent. Others are so disaffected that they are sympathetic to the tenets of Islamic revolutionism. Still others recognize that the nation is poor and getting poorer, and that a positive change can only be effected through extra-constitutional means. The current problems for Americans in Pakistan are symptoms of official dissent and are very bad news for Pakistan, Afghanistan and the United States.

Pakistan's military establishment has a history of staging coups, and if the country appears to become rudderless, there will be no hesitation among general officers to usurp power. As in the past, that may stabilize the country for a while, but it will not improve the chances of defeating our mutual enemies.

The American solution has been to send money to Pakistan in the hope that some of it will not be skimmed by officials and will be used for some good. With the situation getting less stable, many people have limited confidence that things will improve on their own. Statecraft is the only instrument of policy that may work to stabilize the country, and the solution will not be a bipartite one: other regional actors, including India, must be involved.

We have a lousy track record in diplomacy, and it often seems that our efforts are strenuous only until they no longer garner headlines. But it is through strong leadership and secret talks that we will see success, and one hopes that our domestic political process has more stamina than Pakistan's.

{"contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"jackjacobs"}
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  • Public Discussion (14)
{"commentId":11286852,"authorDomain":"matthew-babiarz"}
Lunchbox

The Pakistani military will never truly go after Islamic militants for a couple of reasons. Not the least of which is the fact that they see those militants or militias as possible cannon fodder or shock troops or whatever in the event that a major shooting war with India lights off. The ISI still sees India as the greatest threat to Pakistan, not the internal threat posed by the Islamist movement. Unless a fundamental shift takes place in the mind of Pakistani Intelligence and Military leaders you will never see Pakistan rid itself of Islamic extremist groups.

{"commentId":11286852,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"matthew-babiarz"}
    Reply#1 - Fri Dec 18, 2009 8:02 PM EST
    {"commentId":11289593,"authorDomain":"joe-citizen"}
    Joe Citizen2

    Jack,

    You, sir, never cease to amaze me. It was only a couple of years ago that you were exhibiting your clown-like understanding of the American Civil War on Morning Joe (MSNBC).

    After reading this article and the others on this blog, I'm amazed that anyone pays you for these opinions. I won't offer counterarguments here, since you'd probably offer some ad hominem argument in return.

    Please know that a purple heart and a bronze star don't instill in you common sense, nor do they license your ignorance.

    Good Day,
    Joe Citizen

    {"commentId":11289593,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"joe-citizen"}
      Reply#2 - Fri Dec 18, 2009 11:46 PM EST
      {"commentId":11289695,"authorDomain":"amberneve"}
      Neron Kesar

      I value the colonel's article very much and actively seek them out every week.

      Keep up the great work, colonel! Your articles keep me thinking.

      {"commentId":11289695,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"amberneve"}
      • 1 vote
      #2.1 - Fri Dec 18, 2009 11:56 PM EST
      {"commentId":11291949,"authorDomain":"tom-carter"}
      Tom Carter

      Please know that a purple heart and a bronze star don't instill in you common sense, nor do they license your ignorance.

      The only ignorance on display here, Joe, is your own.

      {"commentId":11291949,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"tom-carter"}
      • 1 vote
      #2.2 - Sat Dec 19, 2009 8:03 AM EST
      {"commentId":11299281,"authorDomain":"amberneve"}
      Neron Kesar

      Both colonels,

      I suspect a short-term (3-5 years) answer to the current dilemmas facing Afghanistan and Pakistan is a nonviolent military coup d'état in BOTH countries.

      As you surely know, constitutional law is the regulator of rights in peacetime. Yet neither Afghanistan nor Pakistan is at peace. They are under siege by immanent, violent and enduring forces that threaten law and order and the collective rights secured by their respective constitutions.

      A military dictatorship is the fastest track to change, but are there viable candidates who can act in the best interest of their peoples? For Afghanistan I do not know. For Pakistan, Pervez Musharraf may be an option.

      Musharraf made progress in normalizing relations with India, demonstrating that Pakistan and India CAN work together.

      {"commentId":11299281,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"amberneve"}
      • 1 vote
      #2.3 - Sat Dec 19, 2009 6:40 PM EST
      Reply
      {"commentId":11291979,"authorDomain":"tom-carter"}
      Tom Carter

      Our reliance on Pakistan as a rational partner in our overall strategy in Afghanistan is a serious mistake. Strong and effective diplomacy, along with some sticks among the carrots, might make a difference. However, I don't have much confidence that it can work.

      The fundamental error we're making in Afghanistan and Pakistan both is to assume that someday they will be something other than what they are. It won't happen.

      {"commentId":11291979,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"tom-carter"}
        Reply#3 - Sat Dec 19, 2009 8:09 AM EST
        {"commentId":11294289,"authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
        MLCook

        It looks this morning like Pakistan is coming internally unglued, driven by uppity Supreme Court judges no doubt covertly backed by army factions.

        I missed the Colonel talking about the American Civil War. My take on it is much the same as Abraham Lincoln, who considered Harriet Beecher Stowe more essential than any general in that she insured that Great Britain would not intervene on the side of the Confederacy. Her book, Uncle Tom's Cabin, was extremely popular in England and swayed many important people.

        The Mason and Slidell incident nevertheless nearly took the North to war with England because our navy captain who dared to stop the British mail ship and remove the Confederate ambassadors had basically committed an act of war. Worse yet, Lincoln could not apologize for or disavow the incident in a convincing way. Some extremely warlike communications were exchanged between the White House and London.

        There is an old story that the last response from the British government to Lincoln would have certainly provoked a war, but Prince Albert himself rose from his sickbed and as his last act of state (he had made a lot of decisions for Victoria in her early years) Albert toned down the final British ultimatum to something Lincoln could accept. A week later Prince Albert was dead.

        {"commentId":11294289,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
          Reply#4 - Sat Dec 19, 2009 11:59 AM EST
          {"commentId":11306043,"authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
          MLCook

          An alternative to Harriet Beecher Stowe winning the Civil War was Karl Marx's idea that wheat gave Abraham Lincoln's side the victory. Marx argued that England actually needed the North's wheat more than it needed the South's cotton.

          I found Marx and Engel's book The Civil War in the United States on my disorderly bookshelf. In 1861-62 Marx was a war correspondent for The New York Daily Tribune. Engels mainly helped Marx with his spotty English.

          {"commentId":11306043,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
            Reply#5 - Sun Dec 20, 2009 11:04 AM EST
            {"commentId":11311451,"authorDomain":"amberneve"}
            Neron Kesar

            Marx and Engels wrote about many topics, including the identity of the one whose number is 666. Using their formidable scientific and philosophical prowess they concluded 666 signifies "Neron Kesar", the Greek transliteration of Nero Caesar.

            http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/subject/religion/book-revelations.htm

            Marx and Engels summarize their preterist interpretation as follows:

            "The mysterious book [of Revelation], then, is now perfectly clear. 'John' predicts the return of Nero for about the year 70, and a reign of terror under him which is to last forty-two months, or 1,260 days. After that term God arises, vanquishes Nero, the antichrist, destroys the great city by fire, and binds the devil for a thousand years. The millennium begins, and so forth. All this now has lost all interest, except for ignorant persons who may still try to calculate the day of the last judgment. But as an authentic picture of almost primitive Christianity, drawn by one of themselves, the book is worth more than all the rest of the New Testament put together."

            While preterism is one plausible view of Revelation, it is not the whole view. The book itself predicts a second application at some date future to the time and context of the first common century, when the book was written. See chapter 10.

            A Mighty Angel instructs John he must prophesy AGAIN; i.e., after the publication of a "little book" that evidently instills hope in those who receive it, as symbolized by the figures of the rainbow and honey. Ironically, for the latter-day "John", the experience is bitter! This book appears to be as revolutionizing in its influence as was Harriet Beecher Stowe's "Uncle Tom's Cabin" in ending slavery, which you recognize.

            A name and title can be used interchangeably (Revelation 19:16), so it is feasible a latter-day "John" having any name could use "Neron Kesar" as a title and thus be a candidate for the 666 figure. But 666 is just one of numerous criteria for a latter-day savior. My interpretation of the Antichrist as a savior rather than an usurper is contrary to nearly 2,000 years of exegesis. To my knowledge, I am the only person in the present world advocating this thesis, which is rooted in two assumptions:

            1. The Scriptures of of Judaism and Christianity anticipate complimentary Dual Messiahs rather than a solitary messiah; and,

            2. The translations of modern versions of the Bible are biased in favor of the assumption of a single messiah.

            The failure to recognize these two assumptions has steered salvific history off-course, resulting in unnecessary and horrific conflict, told and untold.

            Dual Messiahs is not a new concept. Hassidic Jews have shown how it runs like a theme throughout biblical history:

            http://www.chabad.org/parshah/article_cdo/aid/65485/jewish/Joseph-His-Brothers.htm

            But while Dual Messiahs is not new it is a lost teaching among Christians, who have embraced Jesus Christ as the sole messiah. Consequently, passages dealing with the Antichrist in the Christian canon have been construed to portray him (or her) as an impostor messiah.

            The situation was further aggravated by the Protestant Reformation. The Protestant King James I of England published his version of the Bible in 1611, during a period in history when the dominant view among Protestants was that the pope was the Antichrist. I have no doubt translations of passages such as 2 Thessalonians 2 and Revelation 13 reflect anti-papal sentiments.

            What really is at stake as evinced by the colonel's article is a regional conflict that spreads and ignites WWIII. This is why I write what I do here. Religion is the ultimate key, but perhaps not the religion to which people are accustomed.

            . . . just another alternative.

            {"commentId":11311451,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"amberneve"}
            • 1 vote
            #5.1 - Sun Dec 20, 2009 7:04 PM EST
            Reply
            {"commentId":11321637,"authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
            MLCook

            Martin Luther did not like the Book of Revelations at all and he and other Protestants would have been happy to expunge it from the Bible, in fact, they urged doing so. Others may have used it for pope-bashing.

            I suspect the Book of Revelations has hung on because parts of it are lyrically beautiful testimony to the memory of Jesus.

            {"commentId":11321637,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
              Reply#6 - Mon Dec 21, 2009 1:13 PM EST
              {"commentId":11328948,"authorDomain":"amberneve"}
              Neron Kesar

              Martin Luther did not like the fact the primary theme of Revelation is not the doctrine of Justification by Faith. The book was adopted into the New Testament canon over one thousand years before the Reformation because it was purportedly written by the Apostle John, who was an eye-witness to Jesus Christ, the same John who wrote the Gospel that bears his name.

              If not for Martin Luther, there would have been no Reformation. If not for the Reformation, there would have been no Protestantism. If not for Protestantism, there would have been no Protestant United States of America. If not for the Protestant United States, there would be no Antichrist, who alone holds the solutions to the world's biggest problems.

              The various Movements of History have contributed to the grand climax, as though by intelligent design. The actors of history have faithfully played their parts never being fully aware of their impact on the grand scheme. History advancing toward this controlled climax is the theme of Revelation; the End is not destruction, rather it is ultimate salvation in the earthly Kingdom of God.

              Martin Luther did not like Revelation because he could not understand it. But it was not intended he should understand it. Revelation is NOT about Jesus Christ. In chapter 1, verse 1 we read Revelation was given BY Jesus Christ. It is His last will and testament to the Other Messiah who would follow Jesus in point of time. In chapter 5, verse 9 we learn the Antichrist Lamb alone prevails to open the scroll; i.e., the last will and testament of Jesus, who is depicted as the Lion of Judah. The Antichrist Lamb prevails because he has a familial right. He like Jesus before him is messianic. The Antichrist Lamb alone understands Revelation because it is his biography.

              People these days are struggling in vain for solutions. They are calling for a savior. Some reputable journalists have even publicly written, "Is Barack Obama the One?" A wise president would bring all resources to bear upon solving the problems of Afghanistan and Pakistan. Military and money are not sufficient.

              {"commentId":11328948,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"amberneve"}
              • 1 vote
              #6.1 - Mon Dec 21, 2009 7:17 PM EST
              Reply
              {"commentId":11336683,"authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
              MLCook

              Another ironic little side note on history. Both Bill Clinton and Mike Huckabee were born in Hope, Arkanasas, which is a four-hour walk from Patmos, Arkansas. Patmos is the island of exile where John is typically pictured as living in a cave while writing Revelation.

              Martin Luther also did not like the Peasant's Revolt. He was not a populist and he despised the pilgrimage circuit around the cathedrals of Europe which had become a kind of welfare system for itinerants. The pilgrims never worked but locals had to support them when they came to town by order of the bishops. Luther famously said that the rich must look after the needs of the poor, but that the poor must provide services that are acceptable to people with money.

              The Protestant Work Ethic was a reflection of the fact that the new bourgeoisie of Europe considered both the aristocrats and the subsistence-level poor to be intolerably lazy. The latter groups were also the staunchest Roman Catholics.

              Uh, Neron, do you see Barack Obama as a competititor to your holiness in the anti-christ roll, or kind of a precursor, like John the Baptist was to Christ? Also, does the Mayan prediction for the winter solstice of 2012 have any meaning for you?

              {"commentId":11336683,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"cookaerospace"}
                Reply#7 - Tue Dec 22, 2009 10:35 AM EST
                {"commentId":11383029,"authorDomain":"amberneve"}
                Neron Kesar

                Neron, do you see Barack Obama as a competitor to your holiness in the anti-christ roll

                I make no claims. Regarding Barack Obama, I think this passage lays to rest the notion that a politician can be a messiah:

                "Jesus called them [unto him], and said, Ye know that the princes of the Gentiles exercise dominion over them, and they that are great exercise authority upon them. But it shall not be so among you: but whosoever will be great among you, let him be your minister; And whosoever will be chief among you, let him be your servant: Even as the Son of man came not to be ministered unto, but to minister, and to give his life a ransom for many" (Matthew 20:25-28).

                How does Barack Obama measure against this passage:

                "[H]e hath no form nor comeliness; and when we shall see him, [there is] no beauty that we should desire him" (Isaiah 53:2).

                Or:

                "He was . . . [O]ne who hides his face from us" (Isaiah 53:3, ESV, footnote).

                The first biblical messiah was Jesus Christ, who appeared on schedule according to the time prophecy of Daniel 9:24-27. We should anticipate one more messiah, not a combination of two modern individuals. Jesus ingathered the Gentiles; the latter-day messiah is supposed to complete the plan of salvation by restoring messianic Israel. This latter event is the primary theme of Revelation. This is evident from the similarities between Revelation and Exodus, such as the plagues.

                According to Revelation 13, a second beast with two horns acts as the enforcer of the Antichrist, leading to the creation of messianic Israel that is made after the image of the Antichrist messiah. This image begins with the restoration of the Jewish Temple in the first part of chapter 14. The role of the American presidency and military is that of enforcer.

                I have no opinion regarding the year 2012.

                {"commentId":11383029,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"amberneve"}
                • 1 vote
                #7.1 - Thu Dec 24, 2009 9:40 PM EST
                Reply
                {"commentId":11364867,"authorDomain":"inquiring-mind"}
                inquiring mind-1526699

                My son is going to Pakistan next month on an educational task or for a non political visit. I am wondering how safe it is for Americans to go abroad at this time. Also, what are the cultural nuances that he must be aware of since it can be very insulting to them to commit a social faux pas?

                {"commentId":11364867,"threadId":"749168","contentId":"3645840","authorDomain":"inquiring-mind"}
                  Reply#8 - Wed Dec 23, 2009 5:19 PM EST
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